IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Santa Clara
West Coast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.3	#217
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.3	#331
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#217

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	0.7%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.4	13.3	14.1

.500 or above	27.5%	32.9%	10.8%
.500 or above in Conference	21.0%	24.3%	10.9%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	25.7%	22.5%	35.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
First Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 2.6	0.1 - 2.6
Quad 1b	0.2 - 2.0	0.3 - 4.6
Quad 2	0.8 - 3.8	1.0 - 8.4
Quad 3	2.6 - 4.8	3.6 - 13.3
Quad 4	8.5 - 3.6	12.1 - 16.9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	297	Prairie View	W	73-69	76%
Nov 15, 2018	90	UC Irvine	L	61-70	30%
Nov 18, 2018	42	Washington	L	63-76	12%
Nov 20, 2018	68	Minnesota	L	65-76	16%
Nov 24, 2018	321	@ San Jose St.	W	68-61	62%
Nov 26, 2018	198	@ California	L	67-68	36%
Nov 29, 2018	335	Jackson St.	W	66-57	85%
Dec 01, 2018	326	Northern Arizona	W	70-63	82%
Dec 07, 2018	247	Idaho St.	W	70-68	65%
Dec 13, 2018	344	Mississippi Valley	W	74-63	88%
Dec 18, 2018	58	USC	L	63-75	22%
Dec 21, 2018	262	Idaho	W	66-63	68%
Dec 29, 2018	191	@ Washington St.	L	69-71	34%
Jan 03, 2019	121	San Diego	L	63-69	38%
Jan 05, 2019	5	@ Gonzaga	L	60-81	2%
Jan 10, 2019	234	Pepperdine	W	70-69	62%
Jan 12, 2019	63	@ BYU	L	61-73	12%
Jan 17, 2019	59	@ St. Mary's	L	59-71	11%
Jan 19, 2019	168	@ Pacific	L	66-69	31%
Jan 24, 2019	5	Gonzaga	L	60-81	6%
Jan 26, 2019	165	Loyola Marymount	L	67-70	49%
Feb 02, 2019	241	Portland	W	67-66	64%
Feb 07, 2019	234	@ Pepperdine	W	70-69	43%
Feb 09, 2019	137	@ San Francisco	L	62-68	24%
Feb 14, 2019	59	St. Mary's	L	59-71	23%
Feb 16, 2019	168	Pacific	L	66-69	50%
Feb 23, 2019	137	San Francisco	L	62-68	42%
Feb 28, 2019	165	@ Loyola Marymount	L	67-70	31%
Mar 02, 2019	241	@ Portland	W	67-66	44%
Projected Record						12.1 - 16.9	5.3 - 10.7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.0				1.8	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	1.1	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0					4.1	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	2.6	2.9	1.4	0.2							7.5	4th
5th							0.6	3.5	4.4	1.5	0.2	0.0							10.1	5th
6th						0.6	4.3	5.3	1.6	0.2	0.0								12.0	6th
7th				0.0	0.7	5.6	6.0	1.5	0.0										13.8	7th
8th			0.0	1.3	5.6	7.0	1.7	0.1											15.8	8th
9th		0.2	2.2	6.9	6.5	1.6	0.1												17.6	9th
10th	1.5	4.5	5.6	4.3	1.2	0.1													17.1	10th

Total	1.5	4.7	7.8	12.6	14.0	14.9	12.7	10.9	8.8	5.7	3.7	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
14-2	42.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-3	22.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-4	7.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	1.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0				0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1	0.0%																0.0
14-2	0.1%		22.4%		22.4%	10.9								0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0					0.1		22.4%
13-3	0.3%		19.5%	1.4%	18.1%	10.9							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.3		18.3%
12-4	0.8%		5.8%	0.6%	5.2%	11.1										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.8		5.3%
11-5	1.6%		4.2%	3.2%	1.0%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.5		1.0%
10-6	3.7%		2.1%	1.7%	0.4%	12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		3.6		0.4%
9-7	5.7%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.6		0.0%
8-8	8.8%		1.0%	1.0%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	8.7
7-9	10.9%		0.4%	0.4%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.8
6-10	12.7%		0.1%	0.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.0	12.7
5-11	14.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	14.8
4-12	14.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	14.0
3-13	12.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
2-14	7.8%																							7.8
1-15	4.7%																							4.7
0-16	1.5%																							1.5

Total	100%		0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	13.4							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	99.5		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%